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Oct Market Analysis

Posted on October 7, 2009

Yearly Market Comparison by Volume of Sales

Maricopa County 2008 to 2009

September 2009 is showing signs of the market leveling off. While the volumes of closed sales for September are lower than August we are seeing about a 2.7% increase of pending and AWC listings. September also showed the lowest level of trustee sells since April of 2009 with 3,776 trustee sales for Maricopa County. Based on the current market trends it appears that July of 2009 had the highest volume of sales and with the inventory continuing to go down we could see the market level off by the end of 2009 4th quarter. What this means is in many of the markets for Maricopa County the bottom of the market might very well have been July of 2009. The other reason for the leveling off in the volume of closed sales is the continuing decrease of available inventory however. That said we are still seeing that 73% to 74% of the closed sales in Maricopa County are distressed sales (REO and Short Sale). The disturbing trend is the most of the closed sales are below $200,000 so homes in the high ranges are seeing long market times and deprecating values. We are far from being out of the woods yet but we could start seeing some appreciation in many of the area markets in 2010 with the higher end homes continuing to lag.                                                                                                                                                                                              Data from ARMLS Sept 2009 single family, detached homes

Yearly Market Comparison by Median Price of Sales

Maricopa County

September 2009 median prices have finally reached the same median price as January 2009. We also saw an increase of 2.7% of Pending and AWC over August of 2009 and in comparison to September 2008 we have seen a 93% increase of Pending Sales and a staggering 555% of AWC sales with 88% of the AWC sales being Short Sales waiting for lender approval. We are also seeing continuing success in closing of short sale homes. Much of this can be contributed to the lenders being more cooperative and even more significant is agents getting better handling short sales. However the top three reason short sales do not close continuing to be buyers walking because of the length of time for the lender to approve the short sales, lack of hardship on the seller�s side and lack of documentation. While we may not be able to control the buyers or the hardship agents should be able to assist in proper documentation another good reason for agents to get some training on working short sales.  Data From: ARMLS Sept 2009 single family detached homes

 
Yearly Market Comparison

Phoenix 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Anthem 2008 to 2009

 

Yearly Market Comparison

Mesa 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Tempe 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Chandler 2008 to 2009

 Yearly Comparison

Goodyear 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Avondale 2008 to2009

 
Yearly Market Comparison

Scottsdale 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Surprise 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Peoria 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Glendale 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Sun City 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Sun City West 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Sun City Grand 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Gilbert 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Fountain Hills 2008 to 2009


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Sept Market Stats

Posted on September 9, 2009

Yearly Market Comparison by Volume of Sales

Maricopa County 2008 to 2009

August 2009 total volume of sold for Maricopa County. Well the ride was going to end sometime and the numbers for August are showing that the overall volume of Sold homes has fallen by 15% from July of 2009. However while the total volume is down from July of this year the year over year comparison is still showing 61% increase in total volume sold. We have also seen another positive trend on the supply side for Maricopa County. The year over year comparison for total active listings is showing a 9.4% average reduction in active listings. This means that we are averaging a lower supply with an overall increase in demand. The challenge that we are seeing in the current market is the high volume of distressed sales. The year to date average of closed sales is showing that 73% of the sales are distressed either REO or Short-Sales. While the increasing volume of closed sales combined with a decreasing inventory is a good sign for the over market we still have long way to go before we see significant recovery in the local housing market. However the national numbers are looking better with a 3% increase in pending sales and in some markets throughout the country we are seeing signs of appreciation.                                                                
Data from ARMLS Aug 2009 single family, detached homes

Yearly Market Comparison by Median Price of Sales

Maricopa County

August 2009 median home brings did fall a little bit is August however this decrease can also be attributed to the decrease in total volume of closed sales. The good news is that even with a decrease in total closed volumes many of the markets are hold their own and show some signs of prices leveling off. The other positive sign in the market is the continue trend of decreasing inventory. With a decreasing supply and combined with an increasing demand many of the local markets could see some signs of appreciation. We still have long way to go and until we can see some significant decreases in distressed sales many of the local markets may see some continuing decreases in median home prices or some leveling off. The one thing that is still looming over the market is the 82,991 homes in pre-foreclosure and the 14,528 new foreclosures in August of 2009 in Maricopa County (according to Realty Trac).

Data From: ARMLS July 2009 single family detached homes
 
 
Yearly Market Comparison

Phoenix 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Anthem 2008 to 2009

 

Yearly Market Comparison

Mesa 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Tempe 2008 to 2009

 

Yearly Market Comparison

Chandler 2008 to 2009

 Yearly Comparison

Goodyear 2008 to 2009

 

Yearly Market Comparison

Avondale 2008 to2009

 

Yearly Market Comparison

Scottsdale 2008 to 2009


 Yearly Market Comparison

Surprise 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Peoria 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Glendale 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Sun City 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Sun City West 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Sun City Grand 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Gilbert 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Fountain Hills 2008 to 2009

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August Market Analysis

Posted on August 7, 2009

Yearly Market Comparison by Volume of Sales

Maricopa County 2008 to 2009

July 2009 total sold volume for Maricopa County is showing the continuing trend of increasing unit sales as we have seen throughout the year. This continuing trend of increasing sales is also being seen in the individual markets throughout the valley. According to the National Association of Realtors the Re-Sale housing sales are up 14% marking the highest increase since October 2007. This report also indicates that housing starts and permit applications for new homes has also increased nationally by 4%. While the increasing volumes of housing sale is good news to otherwise struggling markets we still have a long way to go before we see full recovery. We are still seeing the highest volumes of sales below the $200,000 price ranges and over 50% of the market is still distressed-sales. In order to compete in this market agents are finding that they have to become well versed in selling REO and Short-Sale listings as well as managing the expectations of their clients.

Data from ARMLS July 2009 single family, detached homes
 

 

Yearly Market Comparison by Median Price of Sales

Maricopa County


The July Median home price indicates a very small increase in prices and is also being reflected in most of the markets across the valley. However this trend seems to be on a very gradual climb and we still have a long way to go to get back to the pricing we saw even a year ago. The primary reason for the slow increase in prices is because of the increasing volume of sales below $200,000 and the majority of these sales are distressed sales. However many first time home buyers are able to take advantage of the lower prices along with the Federal Tax Credits programs. According to the National Association of Realtors across the country markets are seeing as much as a 12% increase in first time home buyer sales. So now might be a good time for agents to educate themselves on some of the new local and national first time home buyer programs.

Data From: ARMLS June 2009 single family detached homes

 

Yearly Market Comparison

Phoenix 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Anthem 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Mesa 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Tempe 2008 to 2009

 

Yearly Market Comparison

Chandler 2008 to 2009


Yearly Comparison

Goodyear 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Avondale 2008 to2009

 
Yearly Market Comparison

Scottsdale 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Surprise 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Peoria 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Glendale 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Sun City 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Sun City West 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Sun City Grand 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Gilbert 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Fountain Hills 2008 to 2009

DOWNLOAD .PDF

 

July Market Analysis

Posted on July 7, 2009

Yearly Market Comparison by Volume of Sales

Maricopa County 2008 to 2009

June 2009 total sold volume for Maricopa County is showing the continuing trend of increasing unit sales as we have seen throughout the year. While the June total volume of sold properties is higher than May it also illustrates the lowest month to month increase for 2009. June also marks the halfway point for the year and if the volume trend continues we could see some leveling of the market. The highest volumes of sales for Maricopa are still below the $200,000 price point and over 70% of those sales are distressed sales. The good news is at this current rate of absorption we less than a four month supply. The bad news is there are more distressed sales coming our way. While many of the banks have been getting better about working with sellers on workout solutions and short sales, Maricopa county records still show over 87,000 pre-foreclosure and 50,000 pre-trustee sales. So we are not out of the woods yet and much market will continue to be distressed sales however we are seeing good signs of leveling off in many of the adult communities and unlike the rest of the market these communities have been least affected by the distressed sales.

Data from ARMLS June 2009 single family, detached homes


 

Yearly Market Comparison by Median Price of Sales

Maricopa County

June 2009 median prices show a continuing trend of median price increase what seems to be a leveling off point in March and April of 2009. While this increase of median price is welcomed we are still well under our lowest median price for 2008. The continued increase of distressed sales is still the primary factor for the lower median prices. While these numbers reflect the total market for Maricopa County below you will see that is some of the individual markets the median prices are increasing at a higher rate. This is proof that it pays to the local expert because in many of these markets houses are not only selling quickly but also many of them are selling with multiple offers.

Data From: ARMLS June 2009 single family detached homes

 

Yearly Market Comparison

Phoenix 2008 to 2009
 

Yearly Market Comparison

Anthem 2008 to 2009

  Yearly Market Comparison

Mesa 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Tempe 2008 to 2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Chandler 2008 to 2009

 

Yearly Comparison

Goodyear 2008 to 2009

 

Yearly Market Comparison

Avondale 2008 to2009


Yearly Market Comparison

Scottsdale 2008 to 2009

 

Yearly Market Comparison

Surprise 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Peoria 2008 to 2009

 

Yearly Market Comparison

Glendale 2008  to 2009

 

Yearly Market Comparison

Sun City 2008  to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Sun City West 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Sun City Grand 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Gilbert 2008 to 2009

Yearly Market Comparison

Fountain Hills 2008 to 2009 

 

Short Sale Froms

Posted on May 7, 2009

Short Sale Forms

As many of you know the short sale process can be very difficult and even if you do all the work correctly the sale may not close. The truth is that not all properties or property owners will qualify for a short sale.

 

Attached to this post are few forms that may assist agent in guiding a client through a short sale. Many of these forms are designed to work with an agent on the listing side. However if you are representing a buyer in a short sale transaction you may also find that these forms will assist in you qualifying a listing as to the possibility for a successful short sale closing. Just by asking the listing agents some of the questions from these forms you may be able ascertain if that lasting has the possibility of closing.

We can thank Rick Gould the designated broker for the Windermere NW Phoenix office for these forms. He received them at a Short Sale Class he went through last week. The managers in the other offices have copies of these forms and many more that my assist you in listing short sales as well as representing buyers on a short sale.
 
 Short Sale Forms:
 
1. Short Sale Qualifaction
2. Agent Pre-Listing Checklist
3. Authorization to Release Information
4. Short Sale Agent Checklist
5. Property Information Checklist
6. Short Sale Overview
7. Short Sale Progression Checklist
 

 
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